Improbable, unpredictable things happen, and can have a big impact. We can explain these events after the fact, but the explanation is a kind of self delusion. More detailed knowledge of unfolding events, and more technical expertise, don’t aid prediction.

These are the book’s great insights.

The term ‘pretentious wanker’ comes to mind.



Book cover

Metadata Info

  • Title: The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
  • Author: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
  • Published: 2007
  • ISBN: 1400063515
  • Buy: Amazon search
  • Check out: Seattle library
  • Rating: 1.0 stars