Improbable, unpredictable things happen, and can have a big impact. We can explain these events after the fact, but the explanation is a kind of self-delusion. More detailed knowledge of unfolding events, and more technical expertise, don’t aid prediction.

These are the book’s great insights.

The term ‘pretentious wanker’ comes to mind.



Book cover

Metadata Info

  • Title: The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
  • Author: Nassim Nicholas Taleb
  • Published: 2007
  • ISBN: 1400063515
  • Buy: Amazon search
  • Check out: Seattle library
  • Rating: 1.0 stars